Its interesting that in sebas book solar trillions that came out in 2010 shortly after mackays without the hot air seba expected solar to hit 3. Clean disruption does to the future of energy and transportation what mits nicholas negropontes being digital did for the internet era. For someone like tony seba, grid parity is just the start of a revolution that sees solar power as a kind of airbnb or uber of the energy industry, where its disruptive model can combine with battery storage and electric vehicles to completely change. Once this virtuous cycle reaches critical mass, market growth will accelerate. Compared with tony sebas claim of 100% solar by 2030 across the entire energy spectrum, it doesnt seem so aggressive, but lets put that to one side. Seba s book is a must for everyone who wants a clear understanding of clean energy. Tony seba, an energy expert from stanford university, author of solar trillions in 1982, exxons researchers concluded that we need to leave 80% of the worlds fossil fuels under ground in order to stop climate catastrophe. I will provide free pdf copies of the assigned chapters of my books.
Like mobile phones, personal computers and the internet in the 80s and 90s, solar is growing exponentially and it will soon grab a large share of the energy market. Negroponte explored the advantage of bits over atoms. Tony seba is the author of clean disruption of energy and transportation, solar trillions 7 market and investment opportunities in the emerging cleanenergy economy and winner takes. The stone age did not end because we ran out of rocks. Tony seba 2010 and 2014, expects solar energy to become a trillion dollar industry, and by 2030 seba expects evs and renewable energy to take over and be the most attractive options.
Copyright 2016 tony seba storage disruption grid scale the grid works like a justintime supply chain without inventory grid. Solar is on the cusp of disrupting the worlds largest industry, says tony seba, stanford lecturer, silicon valley entrepreneur and author of solar trillions and clean disruption, which made it to number 3 on amazons best seller list of oil and energy ebooks. Stanford university futurist tony seba spent the last decades. Denial and disinformation centre for climate safety. Free resources seba technology disruption framework booklet. Solar costs go down while conventional power costs historically. Clean disruption transportation tony seba ca transport tech forum sacramento 3aug2017 created date. Solar will become unstoppable and the incumbents will be disrupted. Will the emerging electric vehicle transportation as a service business model kill the global oil industry in 10 years. How silicon valley will make oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal. Online course stanford continuing studies stanford.
In his previous book, solar trillions, tony seba already considered the rapid, even exponential, growth of solar energy. The future of cars could be solar renewable energy world. With the prices of solar and electric vehicle ev batteries predicted to continue falling even as the cost of fossil fuels rises, many industry experts including tony seba, author of solar trillions are forecasting the inevitable rise of solar power in consumer and industrial markets. The author shows immediate as well as longterm market opportunities and why science facts and tech trends make solar inevitable.
Tony seba, clean disruption of energy and transportation. Tony seba author of clean disruption of energy and. Here are the seven amazing opportunities he exploresand some equally amazing facts about energy. Written by tony seba, a high tech entrepreneur and stanford university lecturer, this book is an easytoread guide to the strategies, tools, templates, and stepbystep implementation frameworks that recent silicon valley winners have used. Electric vehicles will kill global oil industry by 2030. Winners take all is about building a product and a company into a winner. Tony seba picks apart the economics of the oil, gas, biofuel and nuclear sources of energy while plugging a case for solar predominantly and wind. Here is how solar, electric selfdriving cars and other exponential technologies. Solar trillions shows why solar is the only clean energy source that can scale to meet global needs and explores the disruptive characteristics that make solar technology inevitable. Download solar trillions download winners take all. He is also the author of clean disruption of energy and transportation, solar trillions and winners take all. The author shows immediate as well as longterm market opportunities and why.
Tony seba charts out the disruptive path forward to evs. Furthermore he provides the latest insights into autonomous vehicles which may be hired uber style at the touch of a button. But those projected developments arent just in the residential energy sphere. Tony seba is a lecturer in entrepreneurship, disruption and clean energy at stanford university, a serial silicon valley entrepreneur and author of clean disruption of energy and transportation, solar trillions and winners take all. Internationally sought after speaker and disruption guru tony seba will help entrepreneurs and businesses plan for this future. Globally, solar installations have doubled every 2 years since 2000. Pr solarfuturetoday solar will disrupt the energy space. Tony seba is a worldrenowned thought leader, author, speaker, educator and entrepreneur. Tony will be one of the keynote speakers during the. Seba predicted in his 2009 book solar trillions that the cost of unsubsidized solar energy would be as low as 3. By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of autonomous vehicles avs, 95% of u. Tony seba explores the advantage of photons and bits over atoms. Department of energy doe energy information administration eia.
May 31, 2018, toronto, canada tony will keynote at the red talks 2018 demography collision vancouver welcomes the most successful global thought leaders, real estate and development influencers and industry innovators to share concepts that impact our city now and into the future. Solar trillions 7 market and investment opportunities in. Sebas solar revolution part 4 a question of where and. If tony seba is correct, the texas and alberta economies just took a metaphorical bullet to the head. At the time of tony sebas presentation, solar represented 1. Winners take all the 9 fundamental rules of high tech strategy book summary. The author shows why solar is the only clean energy source that can scale and why disruptive tech make it inevitable. Island and village scale solar solar industrial process heat state of the art, european solar thermal industry federation. How silicon valley will make oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal, electric utilities and conventional cars obsolete by 2030. Solar trillions 7 market and investment opportunities in the emerging cleanenergy economy. Rethinking transportation 20202030 language selection. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders.
Solar trillions 7 market and investment opportunities. How silicon valley will make oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal, electric utilities and conventional cars obsolete by 2030 seba, tony on. Exponentially improving technologies such as solar, electric vehicles, and autonomous selfdriving cars will disrupt and sweep away the energy and transportation industries as we know it. Rethinking transportation by tony seba worldoutofwhack. His 2010 forecasts have been surprisingly accurate, particularly since organizations like the international energy agency iea and the u. Tony seba the edge of disruption, automotive, petroleum. Tony seba is also the author of solar trillions 7 market and. In the post im writing ill pick out the actual quotes, but basically mackay believed solar pv just couldnt get cheap enough. Pdf winners take all the 9 fundamental rules of high. Executive summary we are on the cusp of one of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruptions of transportation in history. How cheap solar energy is leading a power revolution. Tony seba is a silicon valley serial entrepreneur in.
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